Columbus Crew 0-4 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 23% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
8%
8.4
X/X
12%
5.24
2/1
11%
22.3
2/2
9%
5.99
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.52/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.36
-4% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.0 Crosses 18.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 1.28
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
318 Passes 426
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
13.12.2020 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 2-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
08.03.2020 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
07.07.2019 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
05.05.2018 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
01.06.2017 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 2-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
0-4
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.37 xG 1.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
533 Passes 459
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders ran out comfortable winners over Columbus Crew 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Columbus Crew at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 54% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 46%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.37 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Columbus Crew and 0.83 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Seattle Sounders?

Columbus Crew 0-4 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 50%, draw 27%, Seattle Sounders 23%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Columbus Crew), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
8 Sep 2024
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs St. Louis City Analysis →
03:30 Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC Analysis →
03:30 Chicago Fire vs DC United Analysis →
05:30 Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas Analysis →