New England Revolution 2-2 St. Louis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.41
2-3 Goals
39%
2.12
4-5 Goals
29%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.65
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
10%
5.2
X/2
12%
7.44
X/X
8%
6.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.65
2/2
21%
4.33
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+4.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-4.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.5pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.55/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.60
-12% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
20.6 Crosses 20.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
2-2
AWAY St. Louis City
0.92 xG 1.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
453 Passes 361
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs St. Louis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution and St. Louis City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, New England Revolution had 55% of the ball to St. Louis City's 45%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.92 to 1.52.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs St. Louis City?

New England Revolution 2-2 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs St. Louis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 39%, draw 22%, St. Louis City 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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