Chicago Fire 1-2 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 8 Sep 2024

Chicago Fire
1-2 HT 0-2
DC United
📅08/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
USA - Major League – 2024

Chicago Fire vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.97
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
15%
5.31
X/2
14%
6.76
X/X
12%
5.42
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
16%
4.17
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chicago Fire v DC United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.39/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.05
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.5 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Chicago Fire vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
2W-2D-2L
AWAY DC United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2024 DC United DC United 1-1 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
03.09.2023 DC United DC United 4-0 HT 3-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
02.04.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
19.06.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
13.03.2022 DC United DC United 0-2 HT 0-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
16.09.2021 DC United DC United 3-0 HT 3-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD

Chicago Fire 1-2 DC United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
1-2
AWAY DC United
0.50 xG 0.92
65% Ball Possession 35%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
534 Passes 248
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Chicago Fire vs DC United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

DC United edged past Chicago Fire 2-1 away from home in the USA - Major League on 8 Sep 2024. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 65% of the ball to DC United's 35%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.50 to 0.92.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.33 for DC United.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs DC United?

Chicago Fire 1-2 DC United in the USA - Major League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 37%, draw 26%, DC United 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
8 Sep 2024
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City Analysis →
02:30 Columbus Crew vs Seattle Sounders Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs St. Louis City Analysis →
03:30 Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC Analysis →
05:30 Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas Analysis →