New York Red Bulls 1-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.07
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
23%
4.05
X/2
8%
10.25
X/X
7%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.45
2/2
13%
7.45
2/X
8%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.60/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.73
-8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.4 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.02 xG 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 316
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
18.04.2021 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
15.04.2019 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-2 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
15.07.2018 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
21.09.2017 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABDK
04.05.2017 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
1-1
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.45 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
439 Passes 284
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 8
9 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls and Sporting Kansas City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was New York Red Bulls at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 59% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 41%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.45 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.67 for Sporting Kansas City.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City?

New York Red Bulls 1-1 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 51%, draw 23%, Sporting Kansas City 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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