Forge vs Cavalry Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Forge v Cavalry — Team-Based Signals
Forge vs Cavalry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Cavalry
CAPL
1-2
HT 0-1
Forge
CAPL
0-0
HT 0-0
Cavalry
CAPL
Forge 2-1 Cavalry — Actual Match Statistics
Forge squeezed past Cavalry 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Forge made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Forge had 42% of the ball to Cavalry's 58%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.51 to 1.65.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Forge and 0.83 for Cavalry.
What was the final score of Forge vs Cavalry?
Forge 2-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Forge vs Cavalry?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Forge 33%, draw 26%, Cavalry 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.