America Mineiro 1-1 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 8 Sep 2025

📅08/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.82
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
1.27/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.12
+14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.5 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Operario PR
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.07 xG 0.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 318
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2025 Operario PR Operario PR 1-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
24.10.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
06.07.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
21.11.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 0-1 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
15.08.2020 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
06.03.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 0-2 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
1-1
AWAY Operario PR
1.12 xG 0.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
348 Passes 265
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America Mineiro vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro and Operario PR shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was America Mineiro at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, America Mineiro had 57% of the ball to Operario PR's 43%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.12 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for America Mineiro and 0.50 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Operario PR?

America Mineiro 1-1 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 44%, draw 27%, Operario PR 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America Mineiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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