Hırvatistan 4-0 Karadağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 8 Sep 2025

📅08/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.25
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.18
2-3 Goals
45%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
10%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.37
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.8
X/1
19%
3.78
X/2
2%
23.2
X/X
6%
8.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.95
2/2
4%
20.1
2/X
5%
27.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.95 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
76%
-1.0pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.9pp
9%
Away Win
8%
+0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.51/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.52
-21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +3%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
512 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 74%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
36.2 Crosses 14.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan
4-0
AWAY Karadağ
3.32 xG 0.14
74% Ball Possession 26%
32 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
628 Passes 146
89% Pass Accuracy 62%
68 Box Touches 5
23 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan vs Karadağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan swept aside Karadağ 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hırvatistan as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Hırvatistan had 74% of the ball to Karadağ's 26%, shots finished 32-3, expected goals 3.32 to 0.14.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan vs Karadağ?

Hırvatistan 4-0 Karadağ in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan vs Karadağ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hırvatistan win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan 75%, draw 17%, Karadağ 9%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hırvatistan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hırvatistan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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