08/09/2025
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Libya vs Esvatini Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
36%
Draw
24%
18%
Away Win
12%
61%
Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 2.5
39%
51%
BTTS Yes
36%
49%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libya v Esvatini — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Libya
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Esvatini
EU Bookmakers 15%
+14% /
+14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
1.87/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/2.21
+7%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+5%
59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
424 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
237 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
Libya vs Esvatini Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Libya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Esvatini
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
36%
Ball Possession
64%
6
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
5
1
Corners
11
1
Yellow Cards
0
The Meetings
17.11.2023
Esvatini
0-1
HT 0-0
Libya
DKE
0-1
HT 0-0
Libya
DKE
Libya 2-0 Esvatini — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Libya
2-0
AWAY
Esvatini
61%
Ball Possession
39%
5
Total Shots
3
2
Shots on Target
1
5
Corners
0
1
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
Libya vs Esvatini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Libya saw off Esvatini 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Libya as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Libya had 61% of the ball to Esvatini's 39%, shots finished 5-3.
What was the final score of Libya vs Esvatini?
Libya 2-0 Esvatini in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libya vs Esvatini?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Libya 47%, draw 36%, Esvatini 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libya), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Libya)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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DKE
More World Cup Qualifiers
8 Sep 2025