Chelyabinsk 1-0 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 8 Sep 2025

📅08/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+0.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
12%
Away Win
12%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+9.1pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelyabinsk EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelyabinsk
1-0
AWAY Chayka
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chelyabinsk vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelyabinsk nicked a narrow win over Chayka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelyabinsk as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chelyabinsk had 56% of the ball to Chayka's 44%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Chelyabinsk vs Chayka?

Chelyabinsk 1-0 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelyabinsk vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelyabinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Chelyabinsk 67%, draw 21%, Chayka 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelyabinsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelyabinsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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