Ural 1-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 8 Sep 2025

📅08/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
67%
+0.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 14%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.13/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.52
+34% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Neftekhimik
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Ural Ural 3-2 HT 0-2 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
24.08.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS1
25.09.2018 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-3 HT 0-1 Ural Ural RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
1-1
AWAY Neftekhimik
72% Ball Possession 28%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ural vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural and Neftekhimik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ural at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ural had 72% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 28%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ural had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ural and 1.67 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Ural vs Neftekhimik?

Ural 1-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Ural 67%, draw 20%, Neftekhimik 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ural), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
8 Sep 2025
17:00 Spartak Kostroma vs Sokol Saratov Analysis →
17:00 Chelyabinsk vs Chayka Analysis →
19:30 Fakel vs Arsenal Tula Analysis →