Spartak Kostroma 2-1 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 8 Sep 2025

📅08/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
47%
+7.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Kostroma
2-1
AWAY Sokol Saratov
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Kostroma vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Kostroma squeezed past Sokol Saratov 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Kostroma as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Kostroma had 52% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 48%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs Sokol Saratov?

Spartak Kostroma 2-1 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 55%, draw 25%, Sokol Saratov 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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