NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 8 Sep 2026

📅08/09/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC Nijmegen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Excelsior
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.55 xG 1.01
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 266
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2026 Excelsior Excelsior 0-2 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
09.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
06.05.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 0-3 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
13.08.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-4 HT 2-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
19.02.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 0-3 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
08.10.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
PREVIEW NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

NEC Nijmegen start as strong favourites on our numbers; Excelsior's job is to make the game ugly early.

NEC Nijmegen's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 5 of the last 5; meanwhile, Excelsior arrive on a real away run — 4 wins from the last 5 in the league.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 0.83 for Excelsior.

NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Kick-off Time

NEC Nijmegen play Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/09/2026, kick-off 19:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior is a NEC Nijmegen win at about 61% probability, priced 1.57 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is NEC Nijmegen 61%, draw 19%, Excelsior 20%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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