Botafogo SP vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo SP v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo SP vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
Botafogo SP
BRE3
Botafogo SP 1-0 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo SP squeezed past Paysandu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Botafogo SP made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Botafogo SP had 53% of the ball to Paysandu's 47%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.54 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Botafogo SP's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paysandu led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Botafogo SP and 1.75 for Paysandu.
What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Paysandu?
Botafogo SP 1-0 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Paysandu?
Before kick-off our model rated an Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 34%, draw 26%, Paysandu 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paysandu) went the other way.