Paysandu 1-0 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒03:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.4
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.52/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.08
-38% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
29.1 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Botafogo SP
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 0.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
266 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-1 HT 1-1 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
27.04.2024 Paysandu Paysandu 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
09.05.2022 Paysandu Paysandu 4-1 HT 1-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
1-0
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.55 xG 0.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
258 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 15
37 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paysandu edged past Botafogo SP 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Paysandu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paysandu had 47% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 53%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.55 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paysandu had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paysandu and 1.00 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Botafogo SP?

Paysandu 1-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 38%, draw 31%, Botafogo SP 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paysandu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paysandu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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