Vila Nova 0-3 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 14 Jun 2025

Vila Nova
0-3 HT 0-0
America Mineiro
📅14/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Vila Nova vs America Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.8
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.9pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.4pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.1pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vila Nova v America Mineiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -32%
1.21/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.21
-18% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.7 Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Vila Nova vs America Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
2W-1D-3L
AWAY America Mineiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.45 xG 1.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
263 Passes 362
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
09.05.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 2-1 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
16.10.2019 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
20.07.2019 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
20.09.2017 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
10.06.2017 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2

Vila Nova 0-3 America Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
0-3
AWAY America Mineiro
0.32 xG 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
208 Passes 327
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro swept aside Vila Nova 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vila Nova at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Vila Nova had 43% of the ball to America Mineiro's 57%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.32 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vila Nova and 1.17 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?

Vila Nova 0-3 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 42%, draw 35%, America Mineiro 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Vila Nova), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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