Çad 0-2 Mali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 8 Oct 2025

Çad
0-2 HT 0-1
Mali
📅08/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.95
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
70%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
50%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
10%
+1.3pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.7pp
70%
Away Win
71%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çad EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Mali EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.46/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.00
-7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +150%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çad
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Mali
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
17.11.2023 Mali Mali 3-1 HT 1-0 Çad Çad DKE
17.11.2019 Çad Çad 0-2 HT 0-2 Mali Mali AFUK
POST-MATCH Çad vs Mali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mali beat Çad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mali as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mali led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Çad and 2.50 for Mali.

What was the final score of Çad vs Mali?

Çad 0-2 Mali in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çad vs Mali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Çad 11%, draw 18%, Mali 70%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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