Farense U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 8 Oct 2025

📅08/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.33/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.59
+128% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
29.01.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
30.10.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-2 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
14.08.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
26.03.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 5-1 HT 2-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
03.10.2023 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-4 HT 0-2 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
1-2
AWAY Portimonense U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 edged past Farense U23 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Farense U23 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farense U23 had 53% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 47%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense U23 had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Farense U23 and 0.50 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Farense U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 08/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 43%, draw 25%, Portimonense U23 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Farense U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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