Farense U23 2-0 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 38%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.24/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.93
+43% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
310 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.10.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-2 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
14.08.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
26.03.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 5-1 HT 2-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
03.10.2023 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-4 HT 0-2 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
2-0
AWAY Portimonense U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 saw off Portimonense U23 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Farense U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Farense U23 had 55% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 45%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Farense U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Farense U23 and 0.75 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Farense U23 2-0 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 34%, draw 27%, Portimonense U23 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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