Benfica U23 0-0 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.5pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.48/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.95
-11% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Estrela U23
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 7-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
28.09.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
25.04.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-4 HT 0-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-2 HT 1-2 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
0-0
AWAY Estrela U23
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 and Estrela U23 played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica U23 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 63% of the ball to Estrela U23's 37%, shots finished 22-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Benfica U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Benfica U23 and 0.75 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23?

Benfica U23 0-0 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 53%, draw 22%, Estrela U23 25%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
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