Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-8.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 60%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.26/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.67
+29% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +42%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Aguila
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
25.03.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
15.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
09.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
07.09.2023 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila nicked a narrow win over Fuerte San Francisco 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.20 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 23%, draw 29%, Aguila 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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