Yanbian Longding 6-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.29
6+ Goals
7%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 33% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-13.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 17%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.14/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.28
+30% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
17.3 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Nanjing City
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.56 xG 0.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
295 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2025 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-1 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
20.07.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-2 HT 1-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
23.03.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-1 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
02.09.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-0 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
20.05.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
6-1
AWAY Nanjing City
3.68 xG 0.76
69% Ball Possession 31%
22 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
483 Passes 174
92% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding cruised past Nanjing City 6-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yanbian Longding as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 69% of the ball to Nanjing City's 31%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 3.68 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Yanbian Longding and 0.80 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?

Yanbian Longding 6-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 51%, draw 23%, Nanjing City 26%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yanbian Longding) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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