Eibar 3-2 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.82
Over 2.5
38%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 36% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.48
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
19%
4.49
X/2
9%
8.56
X/X
14%
4.77
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
6%
6.72
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
51%
+10.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
49%
-10.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.35/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.48
+7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.0 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Albacete
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
425 Passes 239
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
09.09.2024 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
28.04.2024 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
12.11.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
14.04.2023 Albacete Albacete 3-1 HT 2-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
23.10.2022 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
3-2
AWAY Albacete
3.81 xG 3.08
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
357 Passes 220
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
34 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar nicked a narrow win over Albacete 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eibar had 58% of the ball to Albacete's 42%, shots finished 22-17, expected goals 3.81 to 3.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eibar and 1.33 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Albacete?

Eibar 3-2 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Eibar 48%, draw 30%, Albacete 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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