Eibar 1-1 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.8
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
21%
4.38
X/2
8%
7.47
X/X
14%
3.87
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
9%
6.34
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.39/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.46
+18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.6 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Albacete
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
417 Passes 234
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2024 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
28.04.2024 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
12.11.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
14.04.2023 Albacete Albacete 3-1 HT 2-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
23.10.2022 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
07.03.2009 Albacete Albacete 2-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
1-1
AWAY Albacete
0.96 xG 0.62
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
462 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar and Albacete shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Eibar had 61% of the ball to Albacete's 39%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eibar and 1.50 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Albacete?

Eibar 1-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eibar 44%, draw 29%, Albacete 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Eibar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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