Eldense 1-4 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.45
Over 2.5
47%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
6.04
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.48
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.45
X/1
14%
4.75
X/2
10%
6.31
X/X
15%
3.35
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
9%
5.36
2/X
9%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.5pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
65%
-12.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
35%
+12.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.56/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.63
+22% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.5 Crosses 20.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Cadiz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.13 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
155 Passes 200
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 0-1 HT 0-0 Eldense Eldense İSPK
28.09.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 1-2 HT 0-1 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
1-4
AWAY Cadiz
1.74 xG 1.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
343 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 24
36 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz swept aside Eldense 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Eldense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Eldense had 56% of the ball to Cadiz's 44%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.74 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Eldense had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eldense and 0.50 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Cadiz?

Eldense 1-4 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eldense 43%, draw 30%, Cadiz 27%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eldense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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