Sporting Gijon 1-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 18 Jan 2025

Sporting Gijon
1-1 HT 1-0
Elche
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Sporting Gijon vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
6.0
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.31
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
13%
4.55
X/2
15%
6.45
X/X
11%
3.44
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.61
2/X
10%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Gijon v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.23/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.20
+8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.3 Crosses 17.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Sporting Gijon vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Elche
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.10 xG 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 Passes 352
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Elche Elche 2-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
20.04.2024 Elche Elche 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
04.10.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-0 HT 2-0 Elche Elche İS2
14.01.2020 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
19.10.2019 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
28.04.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2

Sporting Gijon 1-1 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
1-1
AWAY Elche
0.96 xG 0.52
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
213 Passes 518
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon and Elche shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 33% of the ball to Elche's 67%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.96 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sporting Gijon and 0.83 for Elche.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Elche?

Sporting Gijon 1-1 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 41%, draw 26%, Elche 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Gijon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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