Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 8 Nov 2025

Wellington Phoenix (K)
1-1 HT 1-1
Canberra United (K)
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Canberra United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.66
No
36%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.7pp
36%
BTTS No
44%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix (K) v Canberra United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.12/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.53
-34% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
17.2 Crosses 11.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Canberra United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.83 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
335 Passes 200
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.04.2025 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
10.11.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
24.03.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
28.01.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 Canberra United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
1-1
AWAY Canberra United (K)
0.53 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
239 Passes 157
67% Pass Accuracy 58%
12 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) and Canberra United (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wellington Phoenix (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 56% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 44%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.53 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Canberra United (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wellington Phoenix (K) and 0.75 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 44%, draw 27%, Canberra United (K) 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
8 Nov 2025
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