Guingamp 2-2 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 8 Nov 2025

Guingamp
2 - 2 HT 2 - 1
Pau
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Guingamp vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.34
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.43
6+
6%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.83
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.75
X/2
10%
7.24
X/X
16%
4.89
2/1
3%
24.45
2/2
15%
5.32
2/X
5%
14.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Guingamp v Pau — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Guingamp The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.58 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Guingamp vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Pau
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.79 xG 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
404 Passes 395
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2025 Pau Pau 1-3 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
18.10.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
27.04.2024 Pau Pau 1-2 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
26.08.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 4-0 HT 2-0 Pau Pau FR2
22.04.2023 Pau Pau 2-1 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
30.07.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 4-0 HT 3-0 Pau Pau FR2

Guingamp 2-2 Pau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
2 - 2
AWAY Pau
1.10 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
428 Passes 396
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Guingamp vs Pau
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 2-2 draw left Guingamp and Pau with a point apiece. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.

On the day, Guingamp had 51% of the ball to Pau's 49%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.10 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Guingamp and 0.83 for Pau.

Guingamp vs Pau Result & Final Score

Guingamp 2 - 2 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Guingamp vs Pau Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 47%, draw 26%, Pau 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guingamp) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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