Guingamp vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guingamp v Pau — Team-Based Signals
Guingamp vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Pau
FR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Guingamp
FR2
4-0
HT 3-0
Pau
FR2
3-0
HT 2-0
Pau
FR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Guingamp
FR2
Guingamp 0-1 Pau — Actual Match Statistics
Pau nicked a narrow win over Guingamp 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Guingamp had 58% of the ball to Pau's 42%, shots finished 13-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Guingamp and 0.83 for Pau.
What was the final score of Guingamp vs Pau?
Guingamp 0-1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Pau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 47%, draw 26%, Pau 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.