Grenoble 2-0 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.67
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
9%
7.13
X/2
13%
4.31
X/X
16%
4.24
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.8
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.18/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.81
-21% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
16.0 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Metz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
301 Passes 411
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.05.2023 Metz Metz 1-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
30.12.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 0-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2
23.04.2019 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
01.12.2018 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 1-1 Metz Metz FR2
14.08.2018 Metz Metz 2-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FRLK
01.04.2011 Metz Metz 0-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
2-0
AWAY Metz
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble got the better of Metz 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Metz at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grenoble had 36% of the ball to Metz's 64%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grenoble and 1.00 for Metz.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Metz?

Grenoble 2-0 Metz in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 28%, draw 30%, Metz 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Metz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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