Red Star FC 93 2-2 Caen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 30% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.46
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
14%
5.26
X/2
12%
5.86
X/X
13%
4.54
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.03
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Caen EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.81/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.18
-44% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
22.2 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
05.01.2019 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-1 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
2-2
AWAY Caen
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Caen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 and Caen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 56% of the ball to Caen's 44%, shots finished 21-13.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Caen?

Red Star FC 93 2-2 Caen in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Caen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 38%, draw 24%, Caen 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
18 Oct 2024
00:00 Grenoble vs Metz Analysis →
21:00 Stade Lavallois vs Dunkerque Analysis →
21:00 Bastia vs Clermont Analysis →
21:00 Guingamp vs Pau Analysis →
21:00 Martigues vs Rodez Analysis →