Stade Lavallois 3-2 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
11%
4.64
X/2
17%
6.75
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
12%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.18
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
1.32/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.30
-19% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.0 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Dunkerque
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 0-2 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
25.11.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-2 HT 0-2 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
04.10.2019 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-2 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
3-2
AWAY Dunkerque
0.82 xG 2.01
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
176 Passes 523
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois edged past Dunkerque 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Stade Lavallois found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 30% of the ball to Dunkerque's 70%, shots finished 3-13, expected goals 0.82 to 2.01 — on chances, Dunkerque could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.00 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Dunkerque?

Stade Lavallois 3-2 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 36%, draw 28%, Dunkerque 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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