Pau vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pau v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals
Pau vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Pau
FR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Guingamp
FR2
4-0
HT 3-0
Pau
FR2
3-0
HT 2-0
Pau
FR2
Pau 1-3 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics
Guingamp got the better of Pau 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Pau had 47% of the ball to Guingamp's 53%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.42 to 0.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pau and 2.33 for Guingamp.
What was the final score of Pau vs Guingamp?
Pau 1-3 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pau vs Guingamp?
Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pau 29%, draw 24%, Guingamp 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.