Troyes 1-0 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
4.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 31% vs market 18.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.75/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.50
-6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.4 Crosses 16.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.17 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.01.2025 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-3 HT 0-2 Troyes Troyes FR2
27.04.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
05.12.2023 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
20.03.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 3-1 HT 1-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
28.11.2020 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
17.03.2018 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
1-0
AWAY Amiens SC
1.18 xG 1.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
490 Passes 385
91% Pass Accuracy 89%
33 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes edged past Amiens SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Troyes had 55% of the ball to Amiens SC's 45%, shots finished 23-16, expected goals 1.18 to 1.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Amiens SC.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Troyes and 0.83 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Amiens SC?

Troyes 1-0 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Troyes 52%, draw 25%, Amiens SC 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Troyes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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