Paris FC 2-0 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
8.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.60/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.52
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
18.0 Crosses 11.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ajaccio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 0.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
331 Passes 359
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
23.09.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
29.07.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio HAZ
07.02.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
14.09.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
08.05.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-1 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
2-0
AWAY Ajaccio
1.76 xG 1.09
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
568 Passes 326
92% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC beat Ajaccio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paris FC had 62% of the ball to Ajaccio's 38%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.76 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paris FC and 1.00 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Ajaccio?

Paris FC 2-0 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 57%, draw 23%, Ajaccio 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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