Lorient 5-1 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.74
Over 2.5
52%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.66
No
59%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
6.07
2-3 Goals
41%
2.09
4-5 Goals
24%
2.46
6+ Goals
11%
5.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.07 — our 24% vs market 11.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-10.8pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
33%
+15.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
67%
-15.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.5pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +26%
2.25/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.09
+50% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +31%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
24.3 Crosses 16.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Martigues
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
19.08.2024 Martigues Martigues 0-1 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR2
27.01.2001 Martigues Martigues 1-1 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR2
06.09.2000 Lorient Lorient 0-1 HT 0-1 Martigues Martigues FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
5-1
AWAY Martigues
3.72 xG 0.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
323 Passes 375
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
41 Box Touches 9
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient ran out comfortable winners over Martigues 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lorient had 46% of the ball to Martigues's 54%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 3.72 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lorient and 0.67 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Martigues?

Lorient 5-1 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Lorient 59%, draw 23%, Martigues 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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