Stade Lavallois 2-3 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 May 2025

Stade Lavallois
2-3 HT 0-1
Metz
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Stade Lavallois vs Metz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
15%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Lavallois v Metz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.14
-39% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
27.2 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Stade Lavallois vs Metz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Metz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.71 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 342
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
01.04.2023 Metz Metz 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
20.08.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 3-3 HT 1-3 Metz Metz FR2
02.02.2016 Metz Metz 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
11.09.2015 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2
16.05.2014 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2

Stade Lavallois 2-3 Metz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
2-3
AWAY Metz
2.22 xG 1.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
23 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
304 Passes 380
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 19
37 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz edged past Stade Lavallois 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Lavallois at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 47% of the ball to Metz's 53%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.22 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.17 for Metz.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Metz?

Stade Lavallois 2-3 Metz in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 51%, draw 24%, Metz 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stade Lavallois) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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