Carmarthen Town 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
60%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.9pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.02/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.47
-15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
18.10.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 5-1 HT 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALWK
28.12.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 3-0 HT 2-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
05.10.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town and Trethomas Bluebirds couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Carmarthen Town at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.33 for Trethomas Bluebirds.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Carmarthen Town 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 59%, draw 22%, Trethomas Bluebirds 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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