Caersws 3-1 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.5pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.7pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
1.19/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.23
-34% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
29.03.2025 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3-1 HT 1-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
28.12.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-1 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
24.02.2024 Caersws Caersws 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws got the better of Gresford Athletic 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caersws as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gresford Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Caersws and 1.67 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Gresford Athletic?

Caersws 3-1 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Caersws 49%, draw 18%, Gresford Athletic 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caersws), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caersws) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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