Carmarthen Town 5-1 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
23%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
45%
+12.1pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.0pp
23%
Away Win
30%
-6.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +83%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
28.12.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 3-0 HT 2-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
05.10.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town cruised past Trethomas Bluebirds 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.50 for Trethomas Bluebirds.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Carmarthen Town 5-1 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 57%, draw 20%, Trethomas Bluebirds 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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