Bala Town 0-3 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
42%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
22%
+15.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
55%
-12.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Connahs Quay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2025 Bala Town Bala Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
02.09.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-3 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
17.01.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-2 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
14.01.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
15.10.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
12.04.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay swept aside Bala Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 21% / 42%) promised a tight game; Connahs Quay found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bala Town and 1.17 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Connahs Quay?

Bala Town 0-3 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 37%, draw 21%, Connahs Quay 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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