Connahs Quay 0-2 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
47%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.64
6+ Goals
6%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 29% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.3pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.80/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.23
+12% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bala Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
15.10.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
12.04.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
23.03.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALWK
01.03.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
18.10.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-1 HT 0-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
0-2
AWAY Bala Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town got the better of Connahs Quay 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 60% of the ball to Bala Town's 40%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.33 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Bala Town?

Connahs Quay 0-2 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 42%, draw 27%, Bala Town 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Connahs Quay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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