Cardiff MU 5-1 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.78
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
82%
-8.9pp
16%
Draw
10%
+5.7pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-37% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
470 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Taffs Well
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.08.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 0-3 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GALLK
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU cruised past Taffs Well 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cardiff MU as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Taffs Well?

Cardiff MU 5-1 Taffs Well in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 74%, draw 16%, Taffs Well 10%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff MU) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✗ BTTS No
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