Briton Ferry 0-5 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
58%
Away Win
58%
-0.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -54%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
189 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Penybont
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.10.2025 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 0-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
10.09.2025 Penybont Penybont 2-2 HT 0-1 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALLK
24.09.2024 Penybont Penybont 0-1 HT 0-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
11.08.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 0-2 HT 0-2 Penybont Penybont GAL
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont swept aside Briton Ferry 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Briton Ferry and 1.00 for Penybont.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Penybont?

Briton Ferry 0-5 Penybont in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 19%, draw 23%, Penybont 58%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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