Penybont 2-2 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 10 Sep 2025

📅10/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.76
No
39%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.6pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 19%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/6.00
-62% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -60%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Briton Ferry
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 5
24.09.2024 Penybont Penybont 0-1 HT 0-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
11.08.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 0-2 HT 0-2 Penybont Penybont GAL
POST-MATCH Penybont vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont and Briton Ferry shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Penybont at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Penybont and 0.50 for Briton Ferry.

What was the final score of Penybont vs Briton Ferry?

Penybont 2-2 Briton Ferry in the Wales - League Cup on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Penybont 53%, draw 25%, Briton Ferry 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penybont) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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