Connahs Quay 1-3 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 10 Sep 2025

📅10/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.7pp
49%
Away Win
57%
-7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.8pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
1W-0D-5L
AWAY The New Saints
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.08.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 2-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
04.05.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 1-1 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
31.12.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 2-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
30.10.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
28.04.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 2-1 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
21.04.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
1-3
AWAY The New Saints
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints got the better of Connahs Quay 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 42% of the ball to The New Saints's 58%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Connahs Quay and 2.00 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs The New Saints?

Connahs Quay 1-3 The New Saints in the Wales - League Cup on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 22%, draw 29%, The New Saints 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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