Aberystwyth Town 0-5 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
48%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.66
No
37%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-6.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.8pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 58%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Barry Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Barry Town Barry Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALLK
11.03.2025 Barry Town Barry Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
24.01.2025 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
27.09.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
23.08.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
13.04.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town swept aside Aberystwyth Town 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barry Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barry Town led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 1.50 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town?

Aberystwyth Town 0-5 Barry Town in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 27%, draw 25%, Barry Town 48%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barry Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barry Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALWK More Wales - Welsh Cup
18 Oct 2025
16:00 Bala Town vs Connahs Quay Analysis →
16:00 Briton Ferry vs Penybont Analysis →
16:00 Cardiff MU vs Taffs Well Analysis →
16:00 Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds Analysis →
16:00 Mold Alexandra vs The New Saints Analysis →
16:00 Y Rhyl 1879 vs Brickfield Rangers Analysis →