Aberystwyth Town 1-2 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.0
2-3 Goals
33%
1.81
4-5 Goals
30%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 60%
-3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.21/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.74
+29% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barry Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
27.09.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
23.08.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
13.04.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
02.03.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
13.01.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-4 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
04.11.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town squeezed past Aberystwyth Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barry Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barry Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 1.33 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town?

Aberystwyth Town 1-2 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 28%, draw 26%, Barry Town 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barry Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barry Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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