Newtown 2-2 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.90/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.56/1.49
+21% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Briton Ferry
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.12.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 2-1 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
07.09.2024 Newtown Newtown 1-0 HT 0-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newtown and Briton Ferry shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newtown and 1.00 for Briton Ferry.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Briton Ferry?

Newtown 2-2 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newtown 41%, draw 21%, Briton Ferry 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newtown) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newtown) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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