Cardiff MU vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff MU v Penybont — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff MU vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Penybont
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
2-3
HT 1-0
Penybont
GAL
Cardiff MU 2-1 Penybont — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff MU squeezed past Penybont 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Penybont at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Cardiff MU had 52% of the ball to Penybont's 48%, shots finished 10-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cardiff MU and 1.50 for Penybont.
What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Penybont?
Cardiff MU 2-1 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Penybont?
Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 24%, draw 29%, Penybont 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penybont) went the other way.