Barry Town 2-1 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.76
No
39%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
3%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.3pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 19%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
5.03/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.48
+124% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2025 Barry Town Barry Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
24.01.2025 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
27.09.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
23.08.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
13.04.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
02.03.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town nicked a narrow win over Aberystwyth Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barry Town as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barry Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barry Town and 0.83 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Barry Town 2-1 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - League Cup on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 57%, draw 20%, Aberystwyth Town 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barry Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barry Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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